{
  "version": 1,
  "formula": "p_blue = sigmoid(intercept + coef_elo*(elo_diff/400) + coef_draft*draft_logit)",
  "global": {
    "intercept": 0.143130521671601,
    "coef_elo": 2.372021433735785
  },
  "by_tier": {
    "americas": {
      "n": 678,
      "intercept": 0.11639380523216633,
      "coef_elo": 1.5924250790110377,
      "coef_draft": 1.3502398379858844,
      "draft_temperature": 1.3502398379858844
    },
    "asia_reg": {
      "n": 4158,
      "intercept": 0.11339404231449855,
      "coef_elo": 2.7710939246750392,
      "coef_draft": 0.8289749426687684,
      "draft_temperature": 0.8289749426687684
    },
    "intl": {
      "n": 662,
      "intercept": 0.20212828249162076,
      "coef_elo": 1.7136629564451524,
      "coef_draft": 1.1005996768490096,
      "draft_temperature": 1.1005996768490096
    },
    "tier1": {
      "n": 4604,
      "intercept": 0.14982374341087884,
      "coef_elo": 2.1870696424493965,
      "coef_draft": 1.173633186803332,
      "draft_temperature": 1.173633186803332
    },
    "west": {
      "n": 2223,
      "intercept": 0.17837336819199517,
      "coef_elo": 2.074980448353934,
      "coef_draft": 1.0973816069878326,
      "draft_temperature": 1.0973816069878326
    }
  },
  "by_league": {
    "CBLOL": {
      "n": 678,
      "coef_elo": 1.5924250790110377,
      "coef_draft": 1.3502398379858844,
      "intercept": 0.11639380523216633
    },
    "EWC": {
      "n": 277,
      "coef_elo": 1.6155683347432273,
      "coef_draft": 1.11851932591968,
      "intercept": 0.11969351329149079
    },
    "LCK": {
      "n": 1874,
      "coef_elo": 2.2758565871139296,
      "coef_draft": 1.1861899861309728,
      "intercept": 0.189675173440135
    },
    "LCP": {
      "n": 494,
      "coef_elo": 1.5131394651829133,
      "coef_draft": 0.6518643456884459,
      "intercept": 0.11529244047898592
    },
    "LCS": {
      "n": 613,
      "coef_elo": 1.8825183619844188,
      "coef_draft": 0.7532932607025384,
      "intercept": 0.1870536728925282
    },
    "LEC": {
      "n": 1134,
      "coef_elo": 1.865357116138881,
      "coef_draft": 1.2232070745592625,
      "intercept": 0.19823609713860219
    },
    "LJL": {
      "n": 1112,
      "coef_elo": 3.4481378745841025,
      "coef_draft": 0.5898823582462956,
      "intercept": 0.13921942362384537
    },
    "LPL": {
      "n": 2730,
      "coef_elo": 2.018021453066803,
      "coef_draft": 1.119031287423521,
      "intercept": 0.12435623481009864
    },
    "MSI": {
      "n": 305,
      "coef_elo": 1.2639121185644682,
      "coef_draft": 0.9060152806222294,
      "intercept": 0.24197532752468678
    },
    "PCS": {
      "n": 940,
      "coef_elo": 2.6874935451760544,
      "coef_draft": 0.6279646242266482,
      "intercept": 0.11589698406475836
    },
    "TCL": {
      "n": 744,
      "coef_elo": 1.9408514081443022,
      "coef_draft": 0.9907405546971864,
      "intercept": 0.10351992123191961
    },
    "VCS": {
      "n": 868,
      "coef_elo": 2.355535686387513,
      "coef_draft": 0.8336829690149057,
      "intercept": 0.1017620424453478
    }
  },
  "usage": "Replace Draft Score raw sigmoid(1.4*win_edge) with sigmoid(tier.intercept + tier.coef_elo*(\u03bc_diff/400) + tier.coef_draft*win_edge) OR apply temperature: sigmoid(tier.coef_draft/1.4 * 1.4 * win_edge) after Elo stack.",
  "joint_logistic_global": {
    "intercept": 0.1442954234238338,
    "coef_elo": 2.3644517125255042,
    "coef_draft": 1.091237814010316,
    "suggested_temperature_vs_1_4": 0.7794555814359401
  },
  "residual_ridge": {
    "intercept_dp": -0.0008049379356971183,
    "coef_dp_per_logit": 0.23387448890853146,
    "note": "\u0394P(win) \u2248 intercept + coef * draft_logit after removing Elo-only prediction"
  },
  "champ_logits_shrunk": {
    "Aatrox": -0.09932992802854519,
    "Ahri": 0.0768469077209624,
    "Akali": 0.009810381263119035,
    "Alistar": 0.1594164934314675,
    "Ambessa": 0.0014662993217075717,
    "Amumu": 0.44021894969495917,
    "Anivia": 0.03113771245489608,
    "Annie": 0.10931324686730799,
    "Aphelios": -0.031120608881569194,
    "Ashe": 0.11803988934888526,
    "Aurelion Sol": 0.04418665218710721,
    "Aurora": -0.1002803521252484,
    "Azir": -0.08664778391006939,
    "Bard": 0.20474766410106615,
    "Bel'Veth": 0.03160991421580017,
    "Blitzcrank": 0.27732683724373614,
    "Brand": 0.17163114334930643,
    "Braum": 0.09104106546144086,
    "Caitlyn": 0.015597148391738236,
    "Camille": 0.16690907437971692,
    "Cassiopeia": 0.10726746564567594,
    "Cho'Gath": -0.11194479059625626,
    "Corki": -0.23717969446253845,
    "Darius": 0.29918105186732785,
    "Diana": -0.24996169334820081,
    "Dr. Mundo": 0.19603805285646095,
    "Draven": -0.24760706462090315,
    "Elise": 0.18434943085783803,
    "Ezreal": -0.02467587395591993,
    "Fiora": 0.051678158268546735,
    "Galio": -0.1348807126771944,
    "Gangplank": -0.10697266970715923,
    "Gnar": 0.08498864591453692,
    "Gragas": 0.03837580161558845,
    "Graves": -0.006124024372766489,
    "Gwen": 0.053222214368990384,
    "Heimerdinger": -0.06944513575677329,
    "Hwei": -0.11244155278678772,
    "Irelia": 0.0036852981354209406,
    "Ivern": 0.2646909134979688,
    "Jarvan IV": 0.09154486095235735,
    "Jax": 0.0589005124374253,
    "Jayce": -0.0996770401812184,
    "Jhin": -0.2334019025301934,
    "Jinx": 0.11292537324365295,
    "K'Sante": -0.05723470139182899,
    "Kai'Sa": 0.04281265957563778,
    "Kalista": -0.0547957982677871,
    "Karma": -0.034478144049628866,
    "Karthus": 0.04581155091140752,
    "Kassadin": -0.07126837915847116,
    "Kennen": 0.0752888546395948,
    "Kha'Zix": 0.12708673714272434,
    "Kindred": -0.03286410605387841,
    "Kled": 0.24399106409476246,
    "Kog'Maw": -0.13177202797631624,
    "LeBlanc": 0.0005791954923727239,
    "Lee Sin": 0.05261809983885428,
    "Leona": -0.042202880022403175,
    "Lillia": 0.13564796587366265,
    "Lissandra": 0.014219469659479213,
    "Lucian": -0.08045525611006869,
    "Lulu": -0.13041760887010279,
    "Lux": 0.09348326407317979,
    "Malphite": -0.10433668901311456,
    "Maokai": 0.24366855043288996,
    "Mel": -0.2194046110617479,
    "Milio": 0.037434808583197456,
    "Miss Fortune": -0.0794667469114248,
    "Mordekaiser": 0.13512336308756326,
    "Morgana": 0.04233408667983776,
    "Naafiri": 0.11488493005169632,
    "Nami": 0.05386893662774917,
    "Nasus": 0.03178170211181772,
    "Nautilus": 0.006819913992539871,
    "Neeko": 0.22714021831451164,
    "Nidalee": 0.132190234995009,
    "Nilah": 0.2248135236701345,
    "Nocturne": -0.0934183956442284,
    "Olaf": 0.2072473079815805,
    "Orianna": 0.019145560980393835,
    "Ornn": 0.017377868096634806,
    "Pantheon": -0.016368337484682718,
    "Poppy": 0.1660413038003404,
    "Pyke": 0.20601010363095323,
    "Qiyana": 0.04275159447758322,
    "Rakan": 0.17597310900321855,
    "Rek'Sai": -0.030478231691653215,
    "Rell": 0.07620507717074922,
    "Renata Glasc": 0.08067581656953549,
    "Renekton": -0.013665287870267754,
    "Rumble": 0.06792702524051152,
    "Ryze": 0.09984581409344352,
    "Samira": -0.11623330745005199,
    "Sejuani": -0.05370355156826496,
    "Senna": 0.1150253797821651,
    "Seraphine": -0.01045672943475727,
    "Sett": 0.27120034644198143,
    "Shen": 0.07274702056396648,
    "Shyvana": -0.0723370707737398,
    "Sion": -0.022997708274986695,
    "Sivir": -0.06412483064838274,
    "Skarner": 0.05688499596201456,
    "Smolder": -0.1682160955022201,
    "Soraka": -0.15656136183425026,
    "Swain": 0.126609005261624,
    "Sylas": 0.07995235026191407,
    "Syndra": -0.0790736841273465,
    "Tahm Kench": -0.24110336392386805,
    "Taliyah": 0.14066651365939856,
    "Thresh": 0.047369188328780606,
    "Tristana": -0.05258512860837999,
    "Trundle": 0.040306486784238524,
    "Twisted Fate": 0.22033273146533572,
    "Udyr": -0.3230953803805404,
    "Urgot": -0.5223022939685891,
    "Varus": 0.008774763177058461,
    "Vayne": 0.03536896429038832,
    "Veigar": -0.07772818474888124,
    "Vex": 0.21534490072134085,
    "Vi": 0.046993727269649094,
    "Viego": -0.010272610481438675,
    "Viktor": -0.17939234803193502,
    "Vladimir": -0.06624333439538344,
    "Volibear": -0.16966156637835603,
    "Wukong": -0.09193887845283813,
    "Xayah": 0.09381427839368343,
    "Xerath": -0.26735159592237806,
    "Xin Zhao": -0.06305901372711256,
    "Yasuo": -0.013838923560068474,
    "Yone": 0.0993949626642126,
    "Yorick": 0.06611761921670496,
    "Yunara": -0.0021235972429381506,
    "Yuumi": -0.10440101003775204,
    "Zaahen": 0.060346562939467156,
    "Zac": -0.19472205344167423,
    "Zed": -0.19448881599284717,
    "Zeri": -0.004814181533783695,
    "Ziggs": 0.05970023680345468,
    "Zoe": 0.03695468427886222,
    "Zyra": 0.14344793604993097
  }
}